Omega Therapeutics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.42
| OMGA Stock | USD 0.86 0.07 8.86% |
Omega |
Omega Therapeutics Target Price Odds to finish below 1.42
The tendency of Omega Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 1.42 after 90 days |
| 0.86 | 90 days | 1.42 | about 86.27 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Omega Therapeutics to stay under $ 1.42 after 90 days from now is about 86.27 (This Omega Therapeutics probability density function shows the probability of Omega Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Omega Therapeutics price to stay between its current price of $ 0.86 and $ 1.42 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.52 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.76 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Omega Therapeutics will likely underperform. Additionally Omega Therapeutics has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Omega Therapeutics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Omega Therapeutics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Omega Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Omega Therapeutics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Omega Therapeutics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Omega Therapeutics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Omega Therapeutics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Omega Therapeutics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.76 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Omega Therapeutics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Omega Therapeutics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Omega Therapeutics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Omega Therapeutics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Omega Therapeutics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Omega Therapeutics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Omega Therapeutics has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.09 M. Net Loss for the year was (97.43 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (74.02 M). | |
| Omega Therapeutics currently holds about 173.66 M in cash with (91.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.63, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Omega Therapeutics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Omega Therapeutics, Inc. Reports Q3 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimates - MSN |
Omega Therapeutics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Omega Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Omega Therapeutics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Omega Therapeutics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 54 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 73.4 M |
Omega Therapeutics Technical Analysis
Omega Therapeutics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Omega Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Omega Therapeutics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Omega Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Omega Therapeutics Predictive Forecast Models
Omega Therapeutics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Omega Therapeutics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Omega Therapeutics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Omega Therapeutics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Omega Therapeutics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Omega Therapeutics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Omega Therapeutics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Omega Therapeutics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Omega Therapeutics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Omega Therapeutics has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.09 M. Net Loss for the year was (97.43 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (74.02 M). | |
| Omega Therapeutics currently holds about 173.66 M in cash with (91.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.63, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Omega Therapeutics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Omega Therapeutics, Inc. Reports Q3 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimates - MSN |
Check out Omega Therapeutics Backtesting, Omega Therapeutics Valuation, Omega Therapeutics Correlation, Omega Therapeutics Hype Analysis, Omega Therapeutics Volatility, Omega Therapeutics History as well as Omega Therapeutics Performance. For information on how to trade Omega Stock refer to our How to Trade Omega Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Omega Therapeutics. If investors know Omega will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Omega Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.32) | Revenue Per Share 0.114 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.812 | Return On Assets (0.25) | Return On Equity (1.29) |
The market value of Omega Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Omega that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Omega Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Omega Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Omega Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Omega Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Omega Therapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Omega Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Omega Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.