Optimism Odds of Future Crypto Coin Price Finishing Under 2.18

OP Crypto  USD 2.21  0.13  6.25%   
Optimism's future price is the expected price of Optimism instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Optimism performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Optimism Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Optimism Correlation, Cryptocurrency Center, Optimism Volatility, Optimism History as well as Optimism Performance.
  
Please specify Optimism's target price for which you would like Optimism odds to be computed.

Optimism Target Price Odds to finish below 2.18

The tendency of Optimism Crypto Coin price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 2.18  or more in 90 days
 2.21 90 days 2.18 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Optimism to drop to $ 2.18  or more in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Optimism probability density function shows the probability of Optimism Crypto Coin to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Optimism price to stay between $ 2.18  and its current price of $2.21 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Optimism has a beta of 0.42. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Optimism average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Optimism will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Optimism has an alpha of 0.6091, implying that it can generate a 0.61 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Optimism Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Optimism

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Optimism. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the crypto coin market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the crypto coin market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Optimism's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.112.178.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.677.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.052.498.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.202.222.24
Details

Optimism Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Optimism is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Optimism's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Optimism, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Optimism within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.61
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.42
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Optimism Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Optimism for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Optimism can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Optimism is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Optimism appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Optimism Technical Analysis

Optimism's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Optimism Crypto Coin technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Optimism. In general, you should focus on analyzing Optimism Crypto Coin price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Optimism Predictive Forecast Models

Optimism's time-series forecasting models is one of many Optimism's crypto coin analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Optimism's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the crypto coin market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Optimism

Checking the ongoing alerts about Optimism for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Optimism help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Optimism is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Optimism appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
When determining whether Optimism offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Optimism's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Optimism Crypto.
Check out Optimism Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Optimism Correlation, Cryptocurrency Center, Optimism Volatility, Optimism History as well as Optimism Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Optimism's coin value and its market price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Cryptocurrency investors typically determine Optimism value by looking at such factors as its true mass adoption, usability, application, safety as well as its ability to resist fraud and manipulation. On the other hand, Optimism's price is the amount at which it trades on the cryptocurrency exchange or other digital marketplace that truly represents its supply and demand.