OPC Energy (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2,509

OPCE Stock   2,942  72.00  2.51%   
OPC Energy's future price is the expected price of OPC Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of OPC Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out OPC Energy Backtesting, OPC Energy Valuation, OPC Energy Correlation, OPC Energy Hype Analysis, OPC Energy Volatility, OPC Energy History as well as OPC Energy Performance.
  
Please specify OPC Energy's target price for which you would like OPC Energy odds to be computed.

OPC Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 2,509

The tendency of OPC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 2,942 90 days 2,942 
about 71.76
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OPC Energy to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 71.76 (This OPC Energy probability density function shows the probability of OPC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon OPC Energy has a beta of -0.32. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding OPC Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, OPC Energy is likely to outperform the market. Additionally OPC Energy has an alpha of 0.2128, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   OPC Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for OPC Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OPC Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,9402,9422,944
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,4342,4363,236
Details

OPC Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OPC Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OPC Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OPC Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OPC Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.32
σ
Overall volatility
182.78
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

OPC Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OPC Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OPC Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
OPC Energy has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 1.57 B. Net Loss for the year was (220 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 479 M.
About 53.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

OPC Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of OPC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential OPC Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OPC Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding202.3 M

OPC Energy Technical Analysis

OPC Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. OPC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of OPC Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing OPC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

OPC Energy Predictive Forecast Models

OPC Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many OPC Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary OPC Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about OPC Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about OPC Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for OPC Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
OPC Energy has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 1.57 B. Net Loss for the year was (220 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 479 M.
About 53.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in OPC Stock

OPC Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether OPC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in OPC with respect to the benefits of owning OPC Energy security.