Oracle Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 190.36
| ORCL Stock | USD 192.29 0.14 0.07% |
Oracle |
Oracle Target Price Odds to finish below 190.36
The tendency of Oracle Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 190.36 or more in 90 days |
| 192.29 | 90 days | 190.36 | about 92.67 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oracle to drop to $ 190.36 or more in 90 days from now is about 92.67 (This Oracle probability density function shows the probability of Oracle Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oracle price to stay between $ 190.36 and its current price of $192.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.53 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.14 . This indicates Oracle market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Oracle is expected to follow. Additionally Oracle has an alpha of 0.3806, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Oracle Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Oracle
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oracle. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oracle's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Oracle Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oracle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oracle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oracle, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oracle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 15.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
Oracle Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oracle for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oracle can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Oracle currently holds 94.47 B in liabilities. Oracle has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Oracle's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| About 42.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 24th of October 2024 Oracle paid $ 0.4 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Oracle Corporation Expands Partnership with Microsoft to Boost Cloud Integration and Database Services Across Azure |
Oracle Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Oracle Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Oracle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oracle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.8 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.7 B |
Oracle Technical Analysis
Oracle's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oracle Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oracle. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oracle Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Oracle Predictive Forecast Models
Oracle's time-series forecasting models is one of many Oracle's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oracle's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Oracle
Checking the ongoing alerts about Oracle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oracle help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Oracle currently holds 94.47 B in liabilities. Oracle has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Oracle's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| About 42.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 24th of October 2024 Oracle paid $ 0.4 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Oracle Corporation Expands Partnership with Microsoft to Boost Cloud Integration and Database Services Across Azure |
Check out Oracle Backtesting, Oracle Valuation, Oracle Correlation, Oracle Hype Analysis, Oracle Volatility, Oracle History as well as Oracle Performance. For more information on how to buy Oracle Stock please use our How to buy in Oracle Stock guide.You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Is Systems Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Oracle. If investors know Oracle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Oracle listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.198 | Dividend Share 1.6 | Earnings Share 3.87 | Revenue Per Share 19.553 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.069 |
The market value of Oracle is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Oracle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Oracle's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Oracle's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Oracle's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Oracle's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Oracle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Oracle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oracle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.