Osterweis Fund Investor Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 20.44
| OSTFX Fund | USD 21.53 0.11 0.51% |
Osterweis |
Osterweis Fund Target Price Odds to finish below 20.44
The tendency of Osterweis Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 20.44 or more in 90 days |
| 21.53 | 90 days | 20.44 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Osterweis Fund to drop to $ 20.44 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Osterweis Fund Investor probability density function shows the probability of Osterweis Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Osterweis Fund Investor price to stay between $ 20.44 and its current price of $21.53 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.45 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Osterweis Fund Investor has a beta of -0.0129. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Osterweis Fund are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Osterweis Fund Investor is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Osterweis Fund Investor has an alpha of 0.0134, implying that it can generate a 0.0134 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Osterweis Fund Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Osterweis Fund
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Osterweis Fund Investor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Osterweis Fund Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Osterweis Fund is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Osterweis Fund's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Osterweis Fund Investor, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Osterweis Fund within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Osterweis Fund Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Osterweis Fund for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Osterweis Fund Investor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Osterweis Fund Technical Analysis
Osterweis Fund's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Osterweis Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Osterweis Fund Investor. In general, you should focus on analyzing Osterweis Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Osterweis Fund Predictive Forecast Models
Osterweis Fund's time-series forecasting models is one of many Osterweis Fund's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Osterweis Fund's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Osterweis Fund Investor
Checking the ongoing alerts about Osterweis Fund for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Osterweis Fund Investor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Other Information on Investing in Osterweis Mutual Fund
Osterweis Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether Osterweis Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Osterweis with respect to the benefits of owning Osterweis Fund security.
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