Osterweis Emerging Opportunity Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 18.89
| OSTGX Fund | USD 18.89 0.13 0.68% |
Osterweis |
Osterweis Emerging Target Price Odds to finish over 18.89
The tendency of Osterweis Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 18.89 | 90 days | 18.89 | roughly 2.38 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Osterweis Emerging to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.38 (This Osterweis Emerging Opportunity probability density function shows the probability of Osterweis Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.17 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Osterweis Emerging will likely underperform. Additionally Osterweis Emerging Opportunity has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Osterweis Emerging Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Osterweis Emerging
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Osterweis Emerging. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Osterweis Emerging Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Osterweis Emerging is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Osterweis Emerging's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Osterweis Emerging Opportunity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Osterweis Emerging within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0063 |
Osterweis Emerging Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Osterweis Emerging for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Osterweis Emerging can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund maintains about 10.96% of its assets in cash |
Osterweis Emerging Technical Analysis
Osterweis Emerging's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Osterweis Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Osterweis Emerging Opportunity. In general, you should focus on analyzing Osterweis Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Osterweis Emerging Predictive Forecast Models
Osterweis Emerging's time-series forecasting models is one of many Osterweis Emerging's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Osterweis Emerging's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Osterweis Emerging
Checking the ongoing alerts about Osterweis Emerging for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Osterweis Emerging help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund maintains about 10.96% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Osterweis Mutual Fund
Osterweis Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether Osterweis Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Osterweis with respect to the benefits of owning Osterweis Emerging security.
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