Oatly Group Ab Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.66
| OTLY Stock | USD 0.72 0.02 2.36% |
Oatly |
Oatly Group Target Price Odds to finish below 0.66
The tendency of Oatly Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.66 or more in 90 days |
| 0.72 | 90 days | 0.66 | roughly 2.16 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oatly Group to drop to $ 0.66 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.16 (This Oatly Group AB probability density function shows the probability of Oatly Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oatly Group AB price to stay between $ 0.66 and its current price of $0.72 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.75 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.26 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Oatly Group will likely underperform. Additionally Oatly Group AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Oatly Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Oatly Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oatly Group AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Oatly Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oatly Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oatly Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oatly Group AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oatly Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.53 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Oatly Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oatly Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oatly Group AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Oatly Group AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Oatly Group AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Oatly Group AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Oatly Group AB has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 783.35 M. Net Loss for the year was (417.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 80.03 M. | |
| Oatly Group AB currently holds about 275.1 M in cash with (165.93 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.47. | |
| Roughly 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Oatly Group Stock Surges Amid Financial Performance Insights |
Oatly Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Oatly Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Oatly Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oatly Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 593.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 249.3 M |
Oatly Group Technical Analysis
Oatly Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oatly Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oatly Group AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oatly Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Oatly Group Predictive Forecast Models
Oatly Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Oatly Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oatly Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Oatly Group AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Oatly Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oatly Group AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Oatly Group AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Oatly Group AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Oatly Group AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Oatly Group AB has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 783.35 M. Net Loss for the year was (417.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 80.03 M. | |
| Oatly Group AB currently holds about 275.1 M in cash with (165.93 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.47. | |
| Roughly 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Oatly Group Stock Surges Amid Financial Performance Insights |
Additional Tools for Oatly Stock Analysis
When running Oatly Group's price analysis, check to measure Oatly Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oatly Group is operating at the current time. Most of Oatly Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oatly Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oatly Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oatly Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.