Prudential Financial (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 358.42
| P1DT34 Stock | BRL 361.29 0.00 0.00% |
Prudential |
Prudential Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 358.42
The tendency of Prudential Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above R$ 358.42 in 90 days |
| 361.29 | 90 days | 358.42 | about 5.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Prudential Financial to stay above R$ 358.42 in 90 days from now is about 5.49 (This Prudential Financial probability density function shows the probability of Prudential Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Prudential Financial price to stay between R$ 358.42 and its current price of R$361.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.74 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Prudential Financial has a beta of -0.17 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Prudential Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Prudential Financial is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Prudential Financial has an alpha of 0.2536, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Prudential Financial Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Prudential Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prudential Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Prudential Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Prudential Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Prudential Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Prudential Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Prudential Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 15.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Prudential Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Prudential Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Prudential Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Prudential Financial has accumulated 18.6 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.59, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Prudential Financial has a current ratio of 0.7, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Prudential Financial until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Prudential Financial's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Prudential Financial sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Prudential to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Prudential Financial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Prudential Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Prudential Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Prudential Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Prudential Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 376.3 M |
Prudential Financial Technical Analysis
Prudential Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Prudential Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Prudential Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Prudential Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Prudential Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Prudential Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Prudential Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Prudential Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Prudential Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Prudential Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Prudential Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Prudential Financial has accumulated 18.6 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.59, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Prudential Financial has a current ratio of 0.7, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Prudential Financial until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Prudential Financial's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Prudential Financial sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Prudential to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Prudential Financial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Prudential Stock
When determining whether Prudential Financial is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Prudential Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Prudential Financial Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Prudential Financial Stock:Check out Prudential Financial Backtesting, Prudential Financial Valuation, Prudential Financial Correlation, Prudential Financial Hype Analysis, Prudential Financial Volatility, Prudential Financial History as well as Prudential Financial Performance. For information on how to trade Prudential Stock refer to our How to Trade Prudential Stock guide.You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.