Play2Chill (Poland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.07
| P2C Stock | 4.50 0.20 4.65% |
Play2Chill |
Play2Chill Target Price Odds to finish below 2.07
The tendency of Play2Chill Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 2.07 or more in 90 days |
| 4.50 | 90 days | 2.07 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Play2Chill to drop to 2.07 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Play2Chill SA probability density function shows the probability of Play2Chill Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Play2Chill SA price to stay between 2.07 and its current price of 4.5 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Play2Chill has a beta of 0.84 indicating as returns on the market go up, Play2Chill average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Play2Chill SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Play2Chill SA has an alpha of 0.0614, implying that it can generate a 0.0614 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Play2Chill Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Play2Chill
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Play2Chill SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Play2Chill's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Play2Chill Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Play2Chill is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Play2Chill's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Play2Chill SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Play2Chill within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.84 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Play2Chill Technical Analysis
Play2Chill's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Play2Chill Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Play2Chill SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Play2Chill Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Play2Chill Predictive Forecast Models
Play2Chill's time-series forecasting models is one of many Play2Chill's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Play2Chill's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Play2Chill in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Play2Chill's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Play2Chill options trading.
Additional Tools for Play2Chill Stock Analysis
When running Play2Chill's price analysis, check to measure Play2Chill's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Play2Chill is operating at the current time. Most of Play2Chill's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Play2Chill's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Play2Chill's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Play2Chill to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.