Bima Sakti (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 49.35
| PAMG Stock | IDR 51.00 1.00 2.00% |
Bima |
Bima Sakti Target Price Odds to finish below 49.35
The tendency of Bima Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 49.35 or more in 90 days |
| 51.00 | 90 days | 49.35 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bima Sakti to drop to 49.35 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Bima Sakti Pertiwi probability density function shows the probability of Bima Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bima Sakti Pertiwi price to stay between 49.35 and its current price of 51.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.25 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bima Sakti Pertiwi has a beta of -0.0833 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bima Sakti are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bima Sakti Pertiwi is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bima Sakti Pertiwi has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bima Sakti Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bima Sakti
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bima Sakti Pertiwi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bima Sakti Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bima Sakti is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bima Sakti's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bima Sakti Pertiwi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bima Sakti within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Bima Sakti Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bima Sakti for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bima Sakti Pertiwi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bima Sakti Pertiwi generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bima Sakti Pertiwi has accumulated 109.53 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.25, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Bima Sakti Pertiwi has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Bima Sakti until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Bima Sakti's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Bima Sakti Pertiwi sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Bima to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Bima Sakti's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 46.93 B. Net Loss for the year was (10.46 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 21.93 B. | |
| Bima Sakti Pertiwi has accumulated about 11 B in cash with (960.56 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.52. | |
| Roughly 68.0% of Bima Sakti outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Bima Sakti Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bima Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bima Sakti's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bima Sakti's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.6 B |
Bima Sakti Technical Analysis
Bima Sakti's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bima Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bima Sakti Pertiwi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bima Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bima Sakti Predictive Forecast Models
Bima Sakti's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bima Sakti's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bima Sakti's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bima Sakti Pertiwi
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bima Sakti for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bima Sakti Pertiwi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bima Sakti Pertiwi generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bima Sakti Pertiwi has accumulated 109.53 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.25, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Bima Sakti Pertiwi has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Bima Sakti until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Bima Sakti's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Bima Sakti Pertiwi sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Bima to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Bima Sakti's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 46.93 B. Net Loss for the year was (10.46 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 21.93 B. | |
| Bima Sakti Pertiwi has accumulated about 11 B in cash with (960.56 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.52. | |
| Roughly 68.0% of Bima Sakti outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Bima Stock
Bima Sakti financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bima Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bima with respect to the benefits of owning Bima Sakti security.