Pt Bumi Resources Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.006
| PBMRF Stock | USD 0.01 0.00 0.00% |
PBMRF |
PT Bumi Target Price Odds to finish over 0.006
The tendency of PBMRF Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 0.01 | about 12.89 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PT Bumi to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 12.89 (This PT Bumi Resources probability density function shows the probability of PBMRF Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon PT Bumi has a beta of 0.84 indicating as returns on the market go up, PT Bumi average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PT Bumi Resources will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PT Bumi Resources has an alpha of 0.5961, implying that it can generate a 0.6 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). PT Bumi Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for PT Bumi
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PT Bumi Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PT Bumi Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PT Bumi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PT Bumi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PT Bumi Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PT Bumi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.60 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.84 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
PT Bumi Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PT Bumi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PT Bumi Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| PT Bumi Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| PT Bumi Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| PT Bumi Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| PT Bumi Resources has accumulated 12.24 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.57, which is about average as compared to similar companies. PT Bumi Resources has a current ratio of 0.33, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist PT Bumi until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, PT Bumi's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like PT Bumi Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for PBMRF to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about PT Bumi's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| PT Bumi Resources has accumulated about 297.14 M in cash with (74.42 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 68.0% of PT Bumi outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
PT Bumi Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PBMRF Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PT Bumi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PT Bumi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 74.3 B |
PT Bumi Technical Analysis
PT Bumi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PBMRF Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PT Bumi Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing PBMRF Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
PT Bumi Predictive Forecast Models
PT Bumi's time-series forecasting models is one of many PT Bumi's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PT Bumi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about PT Bumi Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about PT Bumi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PT Bumi Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| PT Bumi Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| PT Bumi Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| PT Bumi Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| PT Bumi Resources has accumulated 12.24 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.57, which is about average as compared to similar companies. PT Bumi Resources has a current ratio of 0.33, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist PT Bumi until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, PT Bumi's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like PT Bumi Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for PBMRF to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about PT Bumi's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| PT Bumi Resources has accumulated about 297.14 M in cash with (74.42 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 68.0% of PT Bumi outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in PBMRF Pink Sheet
PT Bumi financial ratios help investors to determine whether PBMRF Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PBMRF with respect to the benefits of owning PT Bumi security.