PCI PAL (UK) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 63.38

PCIP Stock   66.00  0.50  0.75%   
PCI PAL's future price is the expected price of PCI PAL instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PCI PAL PLC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PCI PAL Backtesting, PCI PAL Valuation, PCI PAL Correlation, PCI PAL Hype Analysis, PCI PAL Volatility, PCI PAL History as well as PCI PAL Performance.
  
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PCI PAL Target Price Odds to finish below 63.38

The tendency of PCI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  63.38  or more in 90 days
 66.00 90 days 63.38 
about 85.35
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PCI PAL to drop to  63.38  or more in 90 days from now is about 85.35 (This PCI PAL PLC probability density function shows the probability of PCI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PCI PAL PLC price to stay between  63.38  and its current price of 66.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.46 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PCI PAL PLC has a beta of -1.07 indicating Additionally PCI PAL PLC has an alpha of 0.4633, implying that it can generate a 0.46 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   PCI PAL Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PCI PAL

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PCI PAL PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
63.1366.0068.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
49.2952.1672.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
59.7162.5965.46
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-1-1-1
Details

PCI PAL Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PCI PAL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PCI PAL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PCI PAL PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PCI PAL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.46
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.07
σ
Overall volatility
6.35
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

PCI PAL Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PCI PAL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PCI PAL PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 17.96 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.18 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.21 M.
About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

PCI PAL Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PCI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PCI PAL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PCI PAL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding67.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.3 M

PCI PAL Technical Analysis

PCI PAL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PCI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PCI PAL PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing PCI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PCI PAL Predictive Forecast Models

PCI PAL's time-series forecasting models is one of many PCI PAL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PCI PAL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PCI PAL PLC

Checking the ongoing alerts about PCI PAL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PCI PAL PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 17.96 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.18 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.21 M.
About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for PCI Stock Analysis

When running PCI PAL's price analysis, check to measure PCI PAL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PCI PAL is operating at the current time. Most of PCI PAL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PCI PAL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PCI PAL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PCI PAL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.