Pinnacle Bancshares Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 21.88

PCLBDelisted Stock  USD 22.10  0.00  0.00%   
Pinnacle Bancshares' future price is the expected price of Pinnacle Bancshares instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pinnacle Bancshares performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
  
Please specify Pinnacle Bancshares' target price for which you would like Pinnacle Bancshares odds to be computed.

Pinnacle Bancshares Target Price Odds to finish over 21.88

The tendency of Pinnacle Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 21.88  in 90 days
 22.10 90 days 21.88 
about 91.47
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pinnacle Bancshares to stay above $ 21.88  in 90 days from now is about 91.47 (This Pinnacle Bancshares probability density function shows the probability of Pinnacle Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pinnacle Bancshares price to stay between $ 21.88  and its current price of $22.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.06 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Pinnacle Bancshares has a beta of 0.18 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pinnacle Bancshares average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pinnacle Bancshares will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pinnacle Bancshares has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Pinnacle Bancshares Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pinnacle Bancshares

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pinnacle Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.1022.1022.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.2519.2524.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.2421.2421.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.8622.2322.61
Details

Pinnacle Bancshares Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pinnacle Bancshares is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pinnacle Bancshares' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pinnacle Bancshares, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pinnacle Bancshares within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.18
σ
Overall volatility
0.81
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Pinnacle Bancshares Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pinnacle Bancshares for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pinnacle Bancshares can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pinnacle Bancshares is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Pinnacle Bancshares has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years

Pinnacle Bancshares Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pinnacle Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pinnacle Bancshares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pinnacle Bancshares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Pinnacle Bancshares Technical Analysis

Pinnacle Bancshares' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pinnacle Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pinnacle Bancshares. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pinnacle Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pinnacle Bancshares Predictive Forecast Models

Pinnacle Bancshares' time-series forecasting models is one of many Pinnacle Bancshares' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pinnacle Bancshares' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pinnacle Bancshares

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pinnacle Bancshares for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pinnacle Bancshares help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pinnacle Bancshares is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Pinnacle Bancshares has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

Other Consideration for investing in Pinnacle Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Pinnacle Bancshares check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Pinnacle Bancshares' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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