Pimco Commoditiesplus Strategy Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 6.61
PCLNX Fund | USD 6.59 0.04 0.61% |
Pimco |
Pimco Commoditiesplus Target Price Odds to finish over 6.61
The tendency of Pimco Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 6.61 or more in 90 days |
6.59 | 90 days | 6.61 | about 21.19 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pimco Commoditiesplus to move over $ 6.61 or more in 90 days from now is about 21.19 (This Pimco Commoditiesplus Strategy probability density function shows the probability of Pimco Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pimco Commoditiesplus price to stay between its current price of $ 6.59 and $ 6.61 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.06 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Pimco Commoditiesplus has a beta of 0.0566 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pimco Commoditiesplus average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pimco Commoditiesplus Strategy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pimco Commoditiesplus Strategy has an alpha of 0.0478, implying that it can generate a 0.0478 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Pimco Commoditiesplus Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Pimco Commoditiesplus
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pimco Commoditiesplus. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pimco Commoditiesplus Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pimco Commoditiesplus is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pimco Commoditiesplus' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pimco Commoditiesplus Strategy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pimco Commoditiesplus within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Pimco Commoditiesplus Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pimco Commoditiesplus for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pimco Commoditiesplus can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.The fund generated-4.0 ten year return of -4.0% | |
Pimco Commoditiesplus maintains about 37.49% of its assets in cash |
Pimco Commoditiesplus Technical Analysis
Pimco Commoditiesplus' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pimco Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pimco Commoditiesplus Strategy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pimco Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pimco Commoditiesplus Predictive Forecast Models
Pimco Commoditiesplus' time-series forecasting models is one of many Pimco Commoditiesplus' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pimco Commoditiesplus' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pimco Commoditiesplus
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pimco Commoditiesplus for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pimco Commoditiesplus help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated-4.0 ten year return of -4.0% | |
Pimco Commoditiesplus maintains about 37.49% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Pimco Mutual Fund
Pimco Commoditiesplus financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pimco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pimco with respect to the benefits of owning Pimco Commoditiesplus security.
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