Peab AB (Sweden) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 68.59

PEAB-B Stock  SEK 80.30  1.70  2.07%   
Peab AB's future price is the expected price of Peab AB instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Peab AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Peab AB Backtesting, Peab AB Valuation, Peab AB Correlation, Peab AB Hype Analysis, Peab AB Volatility, Peab AB History as well as Peab AB Performance.
  
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Peab AB Target Price Odds to finish below 68.59

The tendency of Peab Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 68.59  or more in 90 days
 80.30 90 days 68.59 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Peab AB to drop to kr 68.59  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Peab AB probability density function shows the probability of Peab Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Peab AB price to stay between kr 68.59  and its current price of kr80.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.67 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Peab AB has a beta of 0.43 indicating as returns on the market go up, Peab AB average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Peab AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Peab AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Peab AB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Peab AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Peab AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
78.5880.3082.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
71.7073.4288.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
72.0173.7375.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
78.0482.3286.61
Details

Peab AB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Peab AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Peab AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Peab AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Peab AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.43
σ
Overall volatility
3.53
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Peab AB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Peab AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Peab AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Peab AB has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 34.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Peab AB Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Peab Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Peab AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Peab AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding295 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB

Peab AB Technical Analysis

Peab AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Peab Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Peab AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Peab Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Peab AB Predictive Forecast Models

Peab AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Peab AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Peab AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Peab AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Peab AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Peab AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Peab AB has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 34.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Peab Stock

Peab AB financial ratios help investors to determine whether Peab Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Peab with respect to the benefits of owning Peab AB security.