Phillips Edison Co Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 36.20
| PECO Stock | USD 39.43 0.09 0.23% |
Phillips |
Phillips Edison Target Price Odds to finish below 36.20
The tendency of Phillips Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 36.20 or more in 90 days |
| 39.43 | 90 days | 36.20 | about 10.69 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Phillips Edison to drop to $ 36.20 or more in 90 days from now is about 10.69 (This Phillips Edison Co probability density function shows the probability of Phillips Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Phillips Edison price to stay between $ 36.20 and its current price of $39.43 at the end of the 90-day period is about 85.42 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Phillips Edison has a beta of 0.37 indicating as returns on the market go up, Phillips Edison average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Phillips Edison Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Phillips Edison Co has an alpha of 0.0783, implying that it can generate a 0.0783 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Phillips Edison Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Phillips Edison
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Phillips Edison. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Phillips Edison's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Phillips Edison Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Phillips Edison is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Phillips Edison's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Phillips Edison Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Phillips Edison within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Phillips Edison Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Phillips Edison for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Phillips Edison can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 1st of November 2024 Phillips Edison paid $ 0.1025 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Delivering Efficiency and Reliability PECO Pallets Role in Blanca Potatos Transition to Automated Material Handling |
Phillips Edison Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Phillips Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Phillips Edison's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Phillips Edison's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 133 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.9 M |
Phillips Edison Technical Analysis
Phillips Edison's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Phillips Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Phillips Edison Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Phillips Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Phillips Edison Predictive Forecast Models
Phillips Edison's time-series forecasting models is one of many Phillips Edison's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Phillips Edison's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Phillips Edison
Checking the ongoing alerts about Phillips Edison for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Phillips Edison help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 1st of November 2024 Phillips Edison paid $ 0.1025 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Delivering Efficiency and Reliability PECO Pallets Role in Blanca Potatos Transition to Automated Material Handling |
Check out Phillips Edison Backtesting, Phillips Edison Valuation, Phillips Edison Correlation, Phillips Edison Hype Analysis, Phillips Edison Volatility, Phillips Edison History as well as Phillips Edison Performance. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Is Retail REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Phillips Edison. If investors know Phillips will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Phillips Edison listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.09) | Dividend Share 1.175 | Earnings Share 0.47 | Revenue Per Share 5.275 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.086 |
The market value of Phillips Edison is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Phillips that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Phillips Edison's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Phillips Edison's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Phillips Edison's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Phillips Edison's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Phillips Edison's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Phillips Edison is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Phillips Edison's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.