Edge Midcap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 13.73
| PEDMX Fund | USD 14.25 0.03 0.21% |
Edge |
Edge Midcap Target Price Odds to finish below 13.73
The tendency of Edge Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 13.73 or more in 90 days |
| 14.25 | 90 days | 13.73 | about 71.38 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Edge Midcap to drop to $ 13.73 or more in 90 days from now is about 71.38 (This Edge Midcap Fund probability density function shows the probability of Edge Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Edge Midcap Fund price to stay between $ 13.73 and its current price of $14.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.67 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Edge Midcap has a beta of 0.91 indicating Edge Midcap Fund market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Edge Midcap is expected to follow. Additionally Edge Midcap Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Edge Midcap Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Edge Midcap
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Edge Midcap Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Edge Midcap Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Edge Midcap is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Edge Midcap's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Edge Midcap Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Edge Midcap within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0094 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.91 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Edge Midcap Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Edge Midcap for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Edge Midcap Fund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from news.google.com: BlackRock Target Allocation Funds Q3 2024 Commentary - Seeking Alpha | |
| The fund maintains 97.3% of its assets in stocks |
Edge Midcap Technical Analysis
Edge Midcap's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Edge Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Edge Midcap Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Edge Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Edge Midcap Predictive Forecast Models
Edge Midcap's time-series forecasting models is one of many Edge Midcap's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Edge Midcap's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Edge Midcap Fund
Checking the ongoing alerts about Edge Midcap for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Edge Midcap Fund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from news.google.com: BlackRock Target Allocation Funds Q3 2024 Commentary - Seeking Alpha | |
| The fund maintains 97.3% of its assets in stocks |
Other Information on Investing in Edge Mutual Fund
Edge Midcap financial ratios help investors to determine whether Edge Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Edge with respect to the benefits of owning Edge Midcap security.
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