Perion Network (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2917.55
| PERI Stock | ILS 3,103 29.00 0.93% |
Perion |
Perion Network Target Price Odds to finish below 2917.55
The tendency of Perion Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to S 2,918 or more in 90 days |
| 3,103 | 90 days | 2,918 | about 5.82 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Perion Network to drop to S 2,918 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.82 (This Perion Network probability density function shows the probability of Perion Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Perion Network price to stay between S 2,918 and its current price of S3103.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.4 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Perion Network has a beta of 0.32 indicating as returns on the market go up, Perion Network average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Perion Network will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Perion Network has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Perion Network Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Perion Network
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Perion Network. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Perion Network Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Perion Network is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Perion Network's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Perion Network, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Perion Network within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0053 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 128.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Perion Network Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Perion Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Perion Network's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Perion Network's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Float | 45.2 M |
Perion Network Technical Analysis
Perion Network's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Perion Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Perion Network. In general, you should focus on analyzing Perion Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Perion Network Predictive Forecast Models
Perion Network's time-series forecasting models is one of many Perion Network's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Perion Network's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Perion Network in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Perion Network's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Perion Network options trading.
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Perion Stock
When determining whether Perion Network offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Perion Network's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Perion Network Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Perion Network Stock:Check out Perion Network Backtesting, Perion Network Valuation, Perion Network Correlation, Perion Network Hype Analysis, Perion Network Volatility, Perion Network History as well as Perion Network Performance. For information on how to trade Perion Stock refer to our How to Trade Perion Stock guide.You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.