Peapack Gladstone Financial Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 27.23

PGC Stock  USD 36.42  0.31  0.86%   
Peapack Gladstone's future price is the expected price of Peapack Gladstone instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Peapack Gladstone Financial performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Peapack Gladstone Backtesting, Peapack Gladstone Valuation, Peapack Gladstone Correlation, Peapack Gladstone Hype Analysis, Peapack Gladstone Volatility, Peapack Gladstone History as well as Peapack Gladstone Performance.
  
At present, Peapack Gladstone's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 15.65, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 2.35. Please specify Peapack Gladstone's target price for which you would like Peapack Gladstone odds to be computed.

Peapack Gladstone Target Price Odds to finish below 27.23

The tendency of Peapack Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 27.23  or more in 90 days
 36.42 90 days 27.23 
about 14.24
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Peapack Gladstone to drop to $ 27.23  or more in 90 days from now is about 14.24 (This Peapack Gladstone Financial probability density function shows the probability of Peapack Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Peapack Gladstone price to stay between $ 27.23  and its current price of $36.42 at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.69 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.02 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Peapack Gladstone will likely underperform. Additionally Peapack Gladstone Financial has an alpha of 0.2796, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Peapack Gladstone Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Peapack Gladstone

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Peapack Gladstone. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.1236.9639.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.6436.4839.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
33.9136.7439.58
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
29.6932.6336.22
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Peapack Gladstone. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Peapack Gladstone's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Peapack Gladstone's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Peapack Gladstone.

Peapack Gladstone Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Peapack Gladstone is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Peapack Gladstone's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Peapack Gladstone Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Peapack Gladstone within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.02
σ
Overall volatility
4.19
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Peapack Gladstone Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Peapack Gladstone for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Peapack Gladstone can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 22nd of November 2024 Peapack Gladstone paid $ 0.05 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: L3Harris Technologies Shares Down 2.2 percent Time to Sell

Peapack Gladstone Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Peapack Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Peapack Gladstone's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Peapack Gladstone's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18 M
Cash And Short Term Investments187.7 M

Peapack Gladstone Technical Analysis

Peapack Gladstone's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Peapack Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Peapack Gladstone Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Peapack Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Peapack Gladstone Predictive Forecast Models

Peapack Gladstone's time-series forecasting models is one of many Peapack Gladstone's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Peapack Gladstone's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Peapack Gladstone

Checking the ongoing alerts about Peapack Gladstone for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Peapack Gladstone help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 22nd of November 2024 Peapack Gladstone paid $ 0.05 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: L3Harris Technologies Shares Down 2.2 percent Time to Sell
When determining whether Peapack Gladstone offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Peapack Gladstone's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Peapack Gladstone Financial Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Peapack Gladstone Financial Stock:
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Peapack Gladstone. If investors know Peapack will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Peapack Gladstone listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.12)
Dividend Share
0.2
Earnings Share
1.82
Revenue Per Share
11.842
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.108
The market value of Peapack Gladstone is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Peapack that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Peapack Gladstone's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Peapack Gladstone's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Peapack Gladstone's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Peapack Gladstone's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Peapack Gladstone's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Peapack Gladstone is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Peapack Gladstone's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.