Pax Global Environmental Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 19.51
| PGINX Fund | USD 25.00 0.09 0.36% |
Pax |
Pax Global Target Price Odds to finish below 19.51
The tendency of Pax Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 19.51 or more in 90 days |
| 25.00 | 90 days | 19.51 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pax Global to drop to $ 19.51 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Pax Global Environmental probability density function shows the probability of Pax Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pax Global Environmental price to stay between $ 19.51 and its current price of $25.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.45 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Pax Global Environmental has a beta of -0.0018 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Pax Global are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Pax Global Environmental is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Pax Global Environmental has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Pax Global Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pax Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pax Global Environmental. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pax Global Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pax Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pax Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pax Global Environmental, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pax Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0018 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Pax Global Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pax Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pax Global Environmental can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pax Global generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund maintains 97.44% of its assets in stocks |
Pax Global Technical Analysis
Pax Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pax Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pax Global Environmental. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pax Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pax Global Predictive Forecast Models
Pax Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pax Global's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pax Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pax Global Environmental
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pax Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pax Global Environmental help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pax Global generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund maintains 97.44% of its assets in stocks |
Other Information on Investing in Pax Mutual Fund
Pax Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pax Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pax with respect to the benefits of owning Pax Global security.
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