Premiere Entertainment (Philippines) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.18

PHA Stock   0.18  0.01  5.26%   
Premiere Entertainment's future price is the expected price of Premiere Entertainment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Premiere Entertainment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Premiere Entertainment Backtesting, Premiere Entertainment Valuation, Premiere Entertainment Correlation, Premiere Entertainment Hype Analysis, Premiere Entertainment Volatility, Premiere Entertainment History as well as Premiere Entertainment Performance.
  
Please specify Premiere Entertainment's target price for which you would like Premiere Entertainment odds to be computed.

Premiere Entertainment Target Price Odds to finish over 0.18

The tendency of Premiere Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.18 90 days 0.18 
about 50.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Premiere Entertainment to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 50.0 (This Premiere Entertainment probability density function shows the probability of Premiere Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Premiere Entertainment has a beta of 0.41 indicating as returns on the market go up, Premiere Entertainment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Premiere Entertainment will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Premiere Entertainment has an alpha of 0.0975, implying that it can generate a 0.0975 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Premiere Entertainment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Premiere Entertainment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Premiere Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.183.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.153.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.183.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.170.180.19
Details

Premiere Entertainment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Premiere Entertainment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Premiere Entertainment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Premiere Entertainment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Premiere Entertainment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.41
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Premiere Entertainment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Premiere Entertainment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Premiere Entertainment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Premiere Entertainment has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Premiere Entertainment had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 349.12 M. Net Loss for the year was (111.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Premiere Entertainment generates negative cash flow from operations

Premiere Entertainment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Premiere Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Premiere Entertainment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Premiere Entertainment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.1 B
Cash And Short Term Investments89.8 M

Premiere Entertainment Technical Analysis

Premiere Entertainment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Premiere Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Premiere Entertainment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Premiere Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Premiere Entertainment Predictive Forecast Models

Premiere Entertainment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Premiere Entertainment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Premiere Entertainment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Premiere Entertainment

Checking the ongoing alerts about Premiere Entertainment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Premiere Entertainment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Premiere Entertainment has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Premiere Entertainment had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 349.12 M. Net Loss for the year was (111.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Premiere Entertainment generates negative cash flow from operations

Other Information on Investing in Premiere Stock

Premiere Entertainment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Premiere Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Premiere with respect to the benefits of owning Premiere Entertainment security.