Koninklijke Philips Nv Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 28.78
| PHG Stock | USD 27.18 0.79 2.99% |
Koninklijke |
Koninklijke Philips Target Price Odds to finish over 28.78
The tendency of Koninklijke Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 28.78 or more in 90 days |
| 27.18 | 90 days | 28.78 | about 65.33 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Koninklijke Philips to move over $ 28.78 or more in 90 days from now is about 65.33 (This Koninklijke Philips NV probability density function shows the probability of Koninklijke Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Koninklijke Philips price to stay between its current price of $ 27.18 and $ 28.78 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.17 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Koninklijke Philips NV has a beta of -0.0762 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Koninklijke Philips are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Koninklijke Philips NV is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Koninklijke Philips NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Koninklijke Philips Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Koninklijke Philips
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Koninklijke Philips. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Koninklijke Philips Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Koninklijke Philips is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Koninklijke Philips' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Koninklijke Philips NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Koninklijke Philips within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Koninklijke Philips Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Koninklijke Philips for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Koninklijke Philips can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Koninklijke Philips generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 18.17 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (466 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 7.19 B. | |
| Latest headline from salon.com: Linda McMahon, Trumps pick to lead the Department of Education, accused of complicity in sex abuse |
Koninklijke Philips Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Koninklijke Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Koninklijke Philips' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Koninklijke Philips' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 925.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.9 B |
Koninklijke Philips Technical Analysis
Koninklijke Philips' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Koninklijke Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Koninklijke Philips NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Koninklijke Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Koninklijke Philips Predictive Forecast Models
Koninklijke Philips' time-series forecasting models is one of many Koninklijke Philips' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Koninklijke Philips' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Koninklijke Philips
Checking the ongoing alerts about Koninklijke Philips for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Koninklijke Philips help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Koninklijke Philips generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 18.17 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (466 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 7.19 B. | |
| Latest headline from salon.com: Linda McMahon, Trumps pick to lead the Department of Education, accused of complicity in sex abuse |
Check out Koninklijke Philips Backtesting, Koninklijke Philips Valuation, Koninklijke Philips Correlation, Koninklijke Philips Hype Analysis, Koninklijke Philips Volatility, Koninklijke Philips History as well as Koninklijke Philips Performance. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Koninklijke Philips. If investors know Koninklijke will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Koninklijke Philips listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.069 | Earnings Share (0.51) | Revenue Per Share 19.75 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) | Return On Assets 0.0136 |
The market value of Koninklijke Philips is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Koninklijke that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Koninklijke Philips' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Koninklijke Philips' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Koninklijke Philips' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Koninklijke Philips' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Koninklijke Philips' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Koninklijke Philips is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Koninklijke Philips' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.