Phoenix Group (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 442.85
| PHNX Stock | 516.50 1.00 0.19% |
Phoenix |
Phoenix Group Target Price Odds to finish below 442.85
The tendency of Phoenix Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 442.85 or more in 90 days |
| 516.50 | 90 days | 442.85 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Phoenix Group to drop to 442.85 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Phoenix Group Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Phoenix Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Phoenix Group Holdings price to stay between 442.85 and its current price of 516.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.83 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Phoenix Group Holdings has a beta of -0.0488 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Phoenix Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Phoenix Group Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Phoenix Group Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Phoenix Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Phoenix Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Phoenix Group Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Phoenix Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Phoenix Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Phoenix Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Phoenix Group Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Phoenix Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 16.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Phoenix Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Phoenix Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Phoenix Group Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Phoenix Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 16.7 B. Net Loss for the year was (138 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 331 M. | |
| Phoenix Group generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 31st of October 2024 Phoenix Group paid 0.2665 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Im expecting my Phoenix Group shares to give me a total return of 25 percent in 2025 - MSN |
Phoenix Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Phoenix Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Phoenix Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Phoenix Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 174 M |
Phoenix Group Technical Analysis
Phoenix Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Phoenix Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Phoenix Group Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Phoenix Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Phoenix Group Predictive Forecast Models
Phoenix Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Phoenix Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Phoenix Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Phoenix Group Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Phoenix Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Phoenix Group Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Phoenix Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 16.7 B. Net Loss for the year was (138 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 331 M. | |
| Phoenix Group generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 31st of October 2024 Phoenix Group paid 0.2665 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Im expecting my Phoenix Group shares to give me a total return of 25 percent in 2025 - MSN |
Additional Tools for Phoenix Stock Analysis
When running Phoenix Group's price analysis, check to measure Phoenix Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Phoenix Group is operating at the current time. Most of Phoenix Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Phoenix Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Phoenix Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Phoenix Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.