Putnam Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 4.84
| PINCX Fund | USD 5.23 0.01 0.19% |
Putnam |
Putnam Income Target Price Odds to finish below 4.84
The tendency of Putnam Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 4.84 or more in 90 days |
| 5.23 | 90 days | 4.84 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Putnam Income to drop to $ 4.84 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Putnam Income Fund probability density function shows the probability of Putnam Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Putnam Income price to stay between $ 4.84 and its current price of $5.23 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.61 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Putnam Income Fund has a beta of -0.0356 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Putnam Income are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Putnam Income Fund is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Putnam Income Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Putnam Income Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Putnam Income
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Putnam Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Putnam Income's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Putnam Income Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Putnam Income is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Putnam Income's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Putnam Income Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Putnam Income within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.52 |
Putnam Income Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Putnam Income for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Putnam Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Putnam Income generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Putnam Income generated five year return of -1.0% | |
| This fund maintains about 6.46% of its assets in bonds |
Putnam Income Technical Analysis
Putnam Income's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Putnam Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Putnam Income Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Putnam Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Putnam Income Predictive Forecast Models
Putnam Income's time-series forecasting models is one of many Putnam Income's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Putnam Income's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Putnam Income
Checking the ongoing alerts about Putnam Income for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Putnam Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Putnam Income generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Putnam Income generated five year return of -1.0% | |
| This fund maintains about 6.46% of its assets in bonds |
Other Information on Investing in Putnam Mutual Fund
Putnam Income financial ratios help investors to determine whether Putnam Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Putnam with respect to the benefits of owning Putnam Income security.
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