Promotora (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 183.15
| PINFRA Stock | MXN 195.06 7.93 4.24% |
Promotora |
Promotora Target Price Odds to finish below 183.15
The tendency of Promotora Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 183.15 or more in 90 days |
| 195.06 | 90 days | 183.15 | more than 94.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Promotora to drop to 183.15 or more in 90 days from now is more than 94.0 (This Promotora y Operadora probability density function shows the probability of Promotora Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Promotora y Operadora price to stay between 183.15 and its current price of 195.06 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.98 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Promotora has a beta of 0.32 indicating as returns on the market go up, Promotora average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Promotora y Operadora will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Promotora y Operadora has an alpha of 0.0891, implying that it can generate a 0.0891 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Promotora Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Promotora
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Promotora y Operadora. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Promotora Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Promotora is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Promotora's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Promotora y Operadora, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Promotora within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.98 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Promotora Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Promotora Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Promotora's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Promotora's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 411.1 M |
Promotora Technical Analysis
Promotora's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Promotora Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Promotora y Operadora. In general, you should focus on analyzing Promotora Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Promotora Predictive Forecast Models
Promotora's time-series forecasting models is one of many Promotora's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Promotora's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Promotora in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Promotora's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Promotora options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Promotora Stock
Promotora financial ratios help investors to determine whether Promotora Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Promotora with respect to the benefits of owning Promotora security.