Park Ohio Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 25.34
| PKOH Stock | USD 26.04 0.76 2.84% |
Park |
Park Ohio Target Price Odds to finish below 25.34
The tendency of Park Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 25.34 or more in 90 days |
| 26.04 | 90 days | 25.34 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Park Ohio to drop to $ 25.34 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Park Ohio Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Park Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Park Ohio Holdings price to stay between $ 25.34 and its current price of $26.04 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.38 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Park Ohio will likely underperform. Additionally Park Ohio Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Park Ohio Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Park Ohio
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Park Ohio Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Park Ohio Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Park Ohio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Park Ohio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Park Ohio Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Park Ohio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.76 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Park Ohio Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Park Ohio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Park Ohio Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Park Ohio Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Park Ohio Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 29th of November 2024 Park Ohio paid $ 0.125 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Park-Ohio Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q3 Earnings |
Park Ohio Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Park Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Park Ohio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Park Ohio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 54.8 M |
Park Ohio Technical Analysis
Park Ohio's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Park Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Park Ohio Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Park Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Park Ohio Predictive Forecast Models
Park Ohio's time-series forecasting models is one of many Park Ohio's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Park Ohio's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Park Ohio Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Park Ohio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Park Ohio Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Park Ohio Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Park Ohio Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 29th of November 2024 Park Ohio paid $ 0.125 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Park-Ohio Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q3 Earnings |
Check out Park Ohio Backtesting, Park Ohio Valuation, Park Ohio Correlation, Park Ohio Hype Analysis, Park Ohio Volatility, Park Ohio History as well as Park Ohio Performance. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Park Ohio. If investors know Park will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Park Ohio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Dividend Share 0.5 | Earnings Share 3.34 | Revenue Per Share 130.779 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0) |
The market value of Park Ohio Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Park that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Park Ohio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Park Ohio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Park Ohio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Park Ohio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Park Ohio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Park Ohio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Park Ohio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.