Value Capital (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 21.6

PLTF Stock  ILS 21.60  0.10  0.46%   
Value Capital's future price is the expected price of Value Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Value Capital One performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Value Capital Backtesting, Value Capital Valuation, Value Capital Correlation, Value Capital Hype Analysis, Value Capital Volatility, Value Capital History as well as Value Capital Performance.
  
Please specify Value Capital's target price for which you would like Value Capital odds to be computed.

Value Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 21.6

The tendency of Value Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 21.60 90 days 21.60 
about 19.57
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Value Capital to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 19.57 (This Value Capital One probability density function shows the probability of Value Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Value Capital One has a beta of -0.25 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Value Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Value Capital One is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Value Capital One has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Value Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Value Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Value Capital One. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.8321.6025.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.5919.3623.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.8019.5723.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.7522.9125.07
Details

Value Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Value Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Value Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Value Capital One, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Value Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.51
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.25
σ
Overall volatility
3.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Value Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Value Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Value Capital One can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Value Capital One generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Value Capital One has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Value Capital One has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Value Capital One has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 5.29 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.62 M.
Value Capital One has accumulated about 234 K in cash with (3.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Value Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Value Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Value Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Value Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Float10.3 M

Value Capital Technical Analysis

Value Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Value Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Value Capital One. In general, you should focus on analyzing Value Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Value Capital Predictive Forecast Models

Value Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Value Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Value Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Value Capital One

Checking the ongoing alerts about Value Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Value Capital One help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Value Capital One generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Value Capital One has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Value Capital One has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Value Capital One has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 5.29 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.62 M.
Value Capital One has accumulated about 234 K in cash with (3.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Value Stock

Value Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Value Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Value with respect to the benefits of owning Value Capital security.