Plaza Retail Reit Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.72
| PLZ-UN Stock | CAD 3.76 0.01 0.27% |
Plaza |
Plaza Retail Target Price Odds to finish over 3.72
The tendency of Plaza Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above C$ 3.72 in 90 days |
| 3.76 | 90 days | 3.72 | about 85.09 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Plaza Retail to stay above C$ 3.72 in 90 days from now is about 85.09 (This Plaza Retail REIT probability density function shows the probability of Plaza Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Plaza Retail REIT price to stay between C$ 3.72 and its current price of C$3.76 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.24 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Plaza Retail has a beta of 0.27 indicating as returns on the market go up, Plaza Retail average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Plaza Retail REIT will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Plaza Retail REIT has an alpha of 0.0266, implying that it can generate a 0.0266 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Plaza Retail Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Plaza Retail
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Plaza Retail REIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Plaza Retail's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Plaza Retail Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Plaza Retail is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Plaza Retail's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Plaza Retail REIT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Plaza Retail within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Plaza Retail Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Plaza Retail for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Plaza Retail REIT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Plaza Retail REIT has accumulated 672.47 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.61, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Plaza Retail REIT has a current ratio of 0.21, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Plaza Retail until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Plaza Retail's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Plaza Retail REIT sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Plaza to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Plaza Retail's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 35.0% of Plaza Retail outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Plaza Retail Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Plaza Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Plaza Retail's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Plaza Retail's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 112 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.9 M |
Plaza Retail Technical Analysis
Plaza Retail's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Plaza Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Plaza Retail REIT. In general, you should focus on analyzing Plaza Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Plaza Retail Predictive Forecast Models
Plaza Retail's time-series forecasting models is one of many Plaza Retail's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Plaza Retail's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Plaza Retail REIT
Checking the ongoing alerts about Plaza Retail for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Plaza Retail REIT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Plaza Retail REIT has accumulated 672.47 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.61, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Plaza Retail REIT has a current ratio of 0.21, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Plaza Retail until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Plaza Retail's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Plaza Retail REIT sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Plaza to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Plaza Retail's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 35.0% of Plaza Retail outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Plaza Stock
Plaza Retail financial ratios help investors to determine whether Plaza Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Plaza with respect to the benefits of owning Plaza Retail security.