Puma Se Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 42.52

PMMAF Stock  USD 46.90  0.19  0.40%   
Puma SE's future price is the expected price of Puma SE instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Puma SE performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Puma SE Backtesting, Puma SE Valuation, Puma SE Correlation, Puma SE Hype Analysis, Puma SE Volatility, Puma SE History as well as Puma SE Performance.
  
Please specify Puma SE's target price for which you would like Puma SE odds to be computed.

Puma SE Target Price Odds to finish below 42.52

The tendency of Puma Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 42.52  or more in 90 days
 46.90 90 days 42.52 
about 35.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Puma SE to drop to $ 42.52  or more in 90 days from now is about 35.13 (This Puma SE probability density function shows the probability of Puma Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Puma SE price to stay between $ 42.52  and its current price of $46.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.84 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Puma SE has a beta of -0.0062 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Puma SE are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Puma SE is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Puma SE has an alpha of 0.1768, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Puma SE Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Puma SE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Puma SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
43.3446.9050.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.5638.1251.59
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Puma SE. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Puma SE's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Puma SE's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Puma SE.

Puma SE Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Puma SE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Puma SE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Puma SE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Puma SE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0062
σ
Overall volatility
3.18
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Puma SE Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Puma SE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Puma SE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Puma SE had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Puma SE Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Puma Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Puma SE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Puma SE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding149.6 M

Puma SE Technical Analysis

Puma SE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Puma Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Puma SE. In general, you should focus on analyzing Puma Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Puma SE Predictive Forecast Models

Puma SE's time-series forecasting models is one of many Puma SE's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Puma SE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Puma SE

Checking the ongoing alerts about Puma SE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Puma SE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Puma SE had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Puma Pink Sheet

Puma SE financial ratios help investors to determine whether Puma Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Puma with respect to the benefits of owning Puma SE security.