Playmates Toys Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.0621
| PMTYF Stock | USD 0.06 0.02 35.00% |
Playmates |
Playmates Toys Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0621
The tendency of Playmates Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.06 | 90 days | 0.06 | about 74.01 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Playmates Toys to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 74.01 (This Playmates Toys probability density function shows the probability of Playmates Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Playmates Toys has a beta of 0.0834 indicating as returns on the market go up, Playmates Toys average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Playmates Toys will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Playmates Toys has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Playmates Toys Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Playmates Toys
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Playmates Toys. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Playmates Toys' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Playmates Toys Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Playmates Toys is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Playmates Toys' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Playmates Toys, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Playmates Toys within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.92 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Playmates Toys Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Playmates Toys for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Playmates Toys can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Playmates Toys generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Playmates Toys has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Playmates Toys has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 55.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Playmates Toys Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Playmates Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Playmates Toys' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Playmates Toys' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Playmates Toys Technical Analysis
Playmates Toys' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Playmates Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Playmates Toys. In general, you should focus on analyzing Playmates Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Playmates Toys Predictive Forecast Models
Playmates Toys' time-series forecasting models is one of many Playmates Toys' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Playmates Toys' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Playmates Toys
Checking the ongoing alerts about Playmates Toys for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Playmates Toys help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Playmates Toys generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Playmates Toys has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Playmates Toys has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 55.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Playmates Pink Sheet
Playmates Toys financial ratios help investors to determine whether Playmates Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Playmates with respect to the benefits of owning Playmates Toys security.