Paninvest Tbk (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1118.0
| PNIN Stock | IDR 1,065 45.00 4.05% |
Paninvest |
Paninvest Tbk Target Price Odds to finish over 1118.0
The tendency of Paninvest Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 1,118 or more in 90 days |
| 1,065 | 90 days | 1,118 | about 20.81 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Paninvest Tbk to move over 1,118 or more in 90 days from now is about 20.81 (This Paninvest Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Paninvest Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Paninvest Tbk price to stay between its current price of 1,065 and 1,118 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.29 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Paninvest Tbk has a beta of -0.0557 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Paninvest Tbk are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Paninvest Tbk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Paninvest Tbk has an alpha of 0.2824, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Paninvest Tbk Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Paninvest Tbk
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Paninvest Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Paninvest Tbk Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Paninvest Tbk is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Paninvest Tbk's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Paninvest Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Paninvest Tbk within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 86.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Paninvest Tbk Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Paninvest Tbk for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Paninvest Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Paninvest Tbk had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Paninvest Tbk has accumulated about 6.98 T in cash with (57.34 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Paninvest Tbk Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Paninvest Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Paninvest Tbk's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Paninvest Tbk's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.1 B |
Paninvest Tbk Technical Analysis
Paninvest Tbk's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Paninvest Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Paninvest Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Paninvest Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Paninvest Tbk Predictive Forecast Models
Paninvest Tbk's time-series forecasting models is one of many Paninvest Tbk's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Paninvest Tbk's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Paninvest Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Paninvest Tbk for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Paninvest Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Paninvest Tbk had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Paninvest Tbk has accumulated about 6.98 T in cash with (57.34 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Paninvest Stock
Paninvest Tbk financial ratios help investors to determine whether Paninvest Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Paninvest with respect to the benefits of owning Paninvest Tbk security.