Putnam Multi Cap Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 78.08

PNOBX Fund  USD 78.08  0.00  0.00%   
Putnam Multi-cap's future price is the expected price of Putnam Multi-cap instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Putnam Multi Cap Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Putnam Multi-cap Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Putnam Multi-cap Correlation, Putnam Multi-cap Hype Analysis, Putnam Multi-cap Volatility, Putnam Multi-cap History as well as Putnam Multi-cap Performance.
  
Please specify Putnam Multi-cap's target price for which you would like Putnam Multi-cap odds to be computed.

Putnam Multi-cap Target Price Odds to finish over 78.08

The tendency of PUTNAM Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 78.08 90 days 78.08 
about 64.37
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Putnam Multi-cap to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 64.37 (This Putnam Multi Cap Growth probability density function shows the probability of PUTNAM Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Putnam Multi Cap Growth has a beta of -0.0621 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Putnam Multi-cap are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Putnam Multi Cap Growth is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Putnam Multi Cap Growth has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Putnam Multi-cap Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Putnam Multi-cap

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Putnam Multi Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
77.7778.0878.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.2875.5985.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
77.5477.8678.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
78.0878.0878.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Putnam Multi-cap. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Putnam Multi-cap's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Putnam Multi-cap's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Putnam Multi Cap.

Putnam Multi-cap Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Putnam Multi-cap is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Putnam Multi-cap's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Putnam Multi Cap Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Putnam Multi-cap within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.57
Ir
Information ratio -0.46

Putnam Multi-cap Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Putnam Multi-cap for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Putnam Multi Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Putnam Multi Cap generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains 96.6% of its assets in stocks

Putnam Multi-cap Technical Analysis

Putnam Multi-cap's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PUTNAM Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Putnam Multi Cap Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing PUTNAM Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Putnam Multi-cap Predictive Forecast Models

Putnam Multi-cap's time-series forecasting models is one of many Putnam Multi-cap's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Putnam Multi-cap's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Putnam Multi Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Putnam Multi-cap for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Putnam Multi Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Putnam Multi Cap generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains 96.6% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in PUTNAM Mutual Fund

Putnam Multi-cap financial ratios help investors to determine whether PUTNAM Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PUTNAM with respect to the benefits of owning Putnam Multi-cap security.
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