Prologis (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 112.12
| POJN Stock | EUR 112.02 1.02 0.92% |
Prologis |
Prologis Target Price Odds to finish over 112.12
The tendency of Prologis Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 112.12 or more in 90 days |
| 112.02 | 90 days | 112.12 | about 37.8 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Prologis to move over € 112.12 or more in 90 days from now is about 37.8 (This Prologis probability density function shows the probability of Prologis Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Prologis price to stay between its current price of € 112.02 and € 112.12 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.03 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Prologis has a beta of 0.68 indicating as returns on the market go up, Prologis average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Prologis will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Prologis has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Prologis Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Prologis
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prologis. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Prologis Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Prologis is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Prologis' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Prologis, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Prologis within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.68 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Prologis Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Prologis Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Prologis' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Prologis' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 923.1 M |
Prologis Technical Analysis
Prologis' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Prologis Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Prologis. In general, you should focus on analyzing Prologis Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Prologis Predictive Forecast Models
Prologis' time-series forecasting models is one of many Prologis' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Prologis' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Prologis in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Prologis' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Prologis options trading.
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Prologis Stock
When determining whether Prologis is a strong investment it is important to analyze Prologis' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Prologis' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Prologis Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Prologis Backtesting, Prologis Valuation, Prologis Correlation, Prologis Hype Analysis, Prologis Volatility, Prologis History as well as Prologis Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Prologis Stock please use our How to Invest in Prologis guide.You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.