Papa Johns (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 44.4
| PP1 Stock | EUR 45.60 0.60 1.30% |
Papa |
Papa Johns Target Price Odds to finish over 44.4
The tendency of Papa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 44.40 in 90 days |
| 45.60 | 90 days | 44.40 | about 70.53 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Papa Johns to stay above € 44.40 in 90 days from now is about 70.53 (This Papa Johns International probability density function shows the probability of Papa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Papa Johns International price to stay between € 44.40 and its current price of €45.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.23 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.42 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Papa Johns will likely underperform. Additionally Papa Johns International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Papa Johns Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Papa Johns
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Papa Johns International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Papa Johns Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Papa Johns is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Papa Johns' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Papa Johns International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Papa Johns within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Papa Johns Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Papa Johns for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Papa Johns International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Papa Johns has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Papa Johns International has accumulated 597.07 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 965.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Papa Johns International has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Papa Johns until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Papa Johns' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Papa Johns International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Papa to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Papa Johns' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 99.0% of Papa Johns shares are owned by institutional investors |
Papa Johns Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Papa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Papa Johns' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Papa Johns' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34.7 M |
Papa Johns Technical Analysis
Papa Johns' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Papa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Papa Johns International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Papa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Papa Johns Predictive Forecast Models
Papa Johns' time-series forecasting models is one of many Papa Johns' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Papa Johns' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Papa Johns International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Papa Johns for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Papa Johns International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Papa Johns has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Papa Johns International has accumulated 597.07 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 965.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Papa Johns International has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Papa Johns until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Papa Johns' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Papa Johns International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Papa to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Papa Johns' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 99.0% of Papa Johns shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Papa Stock
When determining whether Papa Johns International offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Papa Johns' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Papa Johns International Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Papa Johns International Stock:Check out Papa Johns Backtesting, Papa Johns Valuation, Papa Johns Correlation, Papa Johns Hype Analysis, Papa Johns Volatility, Papa Johns History as well as Papa Johns Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.