Protector Forsikring (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 47.05

PR4 Stock  EUR 47.05  0.65  1.36%   
Protector Forsikring's future price is the expected price of Protector Forsikring instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Protector Forsikring ASA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Protector Forsikring Backtesting, Protector Forsikring Valuation, Protector Forsikring Correlation, Protector Forsikring Hype Analysis, Protector Forsikring Volatility, Protector Forsikring History as well as Protector Forsikring Performance.
  
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Protector Forsikring Target Price Odds to finish over 47.05

The tendency of Protector Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 47.05 90 days 47.05 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Protector Forsikring to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Protector Forsikring ASA probability density function shows the probability of Protector Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Protector Forsikring has a beta of 0.3 indicating as returns on the market go up, Protector Forsikring average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Protector Forsikring ASA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Protector Forsikring ASA has an alpha of 0.3642, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Protector Forsikring Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Protector Forsikring

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Protector Forsikring ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
45.2747.0548.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.3552.8554.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
46.7048.4850.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
41.9444.6647.38
Details

Protector Forsikring Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Protector Forsikring is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Protector Forsikring's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Protector Forsikring ASA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Protector Forsikring within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.30
σ
Overall volatility
2.80
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Protector Forsikring Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Protector Forsikring for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Protector Forsikring ASA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Protector Forsikring ASA has accumulated 1.38 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.36, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Protector Forsikring ASA has a current ratio of 0.44, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Protector Forsikring until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Protector Forsikring's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Protector Forsikring ASA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Protector to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Protector Forsikring's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 20.0% of Protector Forsikring outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Protector Forsikring Technical Analysis

Protector Forsikring's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Protector Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Protector Forsikring ASA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Protector Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Protector Forsikring Predictive Forecast Models

Protector Forsikring's time-series forecasting models is one of many Protector Forsikring's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Protector Forsikring's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Protector Forsikring ASA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Protector Forsikring for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Protector Forsikring ASA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Protector Forsikring ASA has accumulated 1.38 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.36, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Protector Forsikring ASA has a current ratio of 0.44, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Protector Forsikring until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Protector Forsikring's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Protector Forsikring ASA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Protector to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Protector Forsikring's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 20.0% of Protector Forsikring outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Protector Stock

Protector Forsikring financial ratios help investors to determine whether Protector Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Protector with respect to the benefits of owning Protector Forsikring security.