Protector Forsikring Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| PR4 Stock | EUR 47.70 0.50 1.06% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Protector Forsikring ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 47.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.70. Protector Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Protector Forsikring's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the value of rsi of Protector Forsikring's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Protector Forsikring hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Protector Forsikring ASA from the perspective of Protector Forsikring response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Protector Forsikring ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 47.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.70. Protector Forsikring after-hype prediction price | EUR 47.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Protector |
Protector Forsikring Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Protector price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Protector using various technical indicators. When you analyze Protector charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Protector Forsikring Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Protector Forsikring ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 47.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.58, mean absolute percentage error of 0.58, and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.70.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Protector Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Protector Forsikring's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Protector Forsikring Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Protector Forsikring | Protector Forsikring Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Protector Forsikring Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Protector Forsikring's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Protector Forsikring's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 45.84 and 49.39, respectively. We have considered Protector Forsikring's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Protector Forsikring stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Protector Forsikring stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.7265 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1933 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5784 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0139 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 34.7019 |
Predictive Modules for Protector Forsikring
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Protector Forsikring ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Protector Forsikring After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Protector Forsikring at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Protector Forsikring or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Protector Forsikring, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Protector Forsikring Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Protector Forsikring's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Protector Forsikring's historical news coverage. Protector Forsikring's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 45.91 and 49.49, respectively. We have considered Protector Forsikring's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Protector Forsikring is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Protector Forsikring ASA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Protector Forsikring Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Protector Forsikring is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Protector Forsikring backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Protector Forsikring, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.42 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
47.70 | 47.70 | 0.00 |
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Protector Forsikring Hype Timeline
Protector Forsikring ASA is at this time traded for 47.70on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Protector is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.42%. %. The volatility of related hype on Protector Forsikring is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 47.70. About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Protector Forsikring was at this time reported as 43.76. The company last dividend was issued on the 8th of February 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Protector Forsikring to cross-verify your projections.Protector Forsikring Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Protector Forsikring's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Protector Forsikring's future price movements. Getting to know how Protector Forsikring's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Protector Forsikring may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FV8 | Fevertree Drinks PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.84 | 0.01 | 3.87 | (2.69) | 19.50 | |
| FOO | Salesforce | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.66 | (3.40) | 12.99 | |
| R6N | Retail Estates NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.02 | (0.06) | 1.44 | (1.57) | 5.07 | |
| WN6 | CarsalesCom | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.11 | (2.86) | 6.23 | |
| AZU | Ebro Foods SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.65 | (0.04) | 1.56 | (1.22) | 3.15 | |
| FOO0 | SALESFORCE INC CDR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.27 | (5.14) | 15.85 | |
| T4H | TreeHouse Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.24 | 0.1 | 2.00 | (1.96) | 28.09 |
Other Forecasting Options for Protector Forsikring
For every potential investor in Protector, whether a beginner or expert, Protector Forsikring's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Protector Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Protector. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Protector Forsikring's price trends.Protector Forsikring Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Protector Forsikring stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Protector Forsikring could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Protector Forsikring by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Protector Forsikring Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Protector Forsikring stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Protector Forsikring shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Protector Forsikring stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Protector Forsikring ASA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Protector Forsikring Risk Indicators
The analysis of Protector Forsikring's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Protector Forsikring's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting protector stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Variance | 4.46 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.9 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.87 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.85) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Protector Forsikring
The number of cover stories for Protector Forsikring depends on current market conditions and Protector Forsikring's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Protector Forsikring is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Protector Forsikring's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Protector Stock
Protector Forsikring financial ratios help investors to determine whether Protector Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Protector with respect to the benefits of owning Protector Forsikring security.