Probe Gold Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.65
| PRB Stock | 3.65 0.01 0.27% |
Probe |
Probe Gold Target Price Odds to finish over 3.65
The tendency of Probe Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 3.65 | 90 days | 3.65 | about 19.66 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Probe Gold to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 19.66 (This Probe Gold probability density function shows the probability of Probe Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Probe Gold has a beta of 0.0864 indicating as returns on the market go up, Probe Gold average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Probe Gold will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Probe Gold has an alpha of 0.5068, implying that it can generate a 0.51 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Probe Gold Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Probe Gold
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Probe Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Probe Gold Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Probe Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Probe Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Probe Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Probe Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Probe Gold Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Probe Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Probe Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Probe Gold had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Net Loss for the year was (24.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Probe Gold has accumulated about 21.82 M in cash with (18.77 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Trading Performance and Risk Management - news.stocktradersdaily.com |
Probe Gold Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Probe Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Probe Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Probe Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 175.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 22.9 M |
Probe Gold Technical Analysis
Probe Gold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Probe Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Probe Gold. In general, you should focus on analyzing Probe Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Probe Gold Predictive Forecast Models
Probe Gold's time-series forecasting models is one of many Probe Gold's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Probe Gold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Probe Gold
Checking the ongoing alerts about Probe Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Probe Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Probe Gold had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Net Loss for the year was (24.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Probe Gold has accumulated about 21.82 M in cash with (18.77 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Trading Performance and Risk Management - news.stocktradersdaily.com |
Other Information on Investing in Probe Stock
Probe Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Probe Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Probe with respect to the benefits of owning Probe Gold security.