Porch Group Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.77

PRCH Stock  USD 5.25  0.11  2.14%   
Porch's future price is the expected price of Porch instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Porch Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Porch Backtesting, Porch Valuation, Porch Correlation, Porch Hype Analysis, Porch Volatility, Porch History as well as Porch Performance.
  
As of now, Porch's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is increasing as compared to previous years. The Porch's current Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is estimated to increase to 13.03, while Price To Sales Ratio is projected to decrease to 0.65. Please specify Porch's target price for which you would like Porch odds to be computed.

Porch Target Price Odds to finish over 3.77

The tendency of Porch Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 3.77  in 90 days
 5.25 90 days 3.77 
about 12.42
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Porch to stay above $ 3.77  in 90 days from now is about 12.42 (This Porch Group probability density function shows the probability of Porch Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Porch Group price to stay between $ 3.77  and its current price of $5.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.5 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 4.27 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Porch will likely underperform. In addition to that Porch Group has an alpha of 2.4597, implying that it can generate a 2.46 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Porch Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Porch

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Porch Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Porch's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.234.6918.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.214.2318.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.125.8419.96
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3.894.284.75
Details

Porch Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Porch is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Porch's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Porch Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Porch within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
2.46
β
Beta against Dow Jones4.27
σ
Overall volatility
1.23
Ir
Information ratio 0.20

Porch Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Porch for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Porch Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Porch Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Porch Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 430.3 M. Net Loss for the year was (133.93 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 168.37 M.
Porch Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from investing.com: Porch group CFO Shawn Tabak sells shares worth 64,018

Porch Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Porch Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Porch's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Porch's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding96.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments332.8 M

Porch Technical Analysis

Porch's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Porch Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Porch Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Porch Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Porch Predictive Forecast Models

Porch's time-series forecasting models is one of many Porch's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Porch's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Porch Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Porch for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Porch Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Porch Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Porch Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 430.3 M. Net Loss for the year was (133.93 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 168.37 M.
Porch Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from investing.com: Porch group CFO Shawn Tabak sells shares worth 64,018
When determining whether Porch Group offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Porch's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Porch Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Porch Group Stock:
Check out Porch Backtesting, Porch Valuation, Porch Correlation, Porch Hype Analysis, Porch Volatility, Porch History as well as Porch Performance.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Porch. If investors know Porch will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Porch listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.66)
Revenue Per Share
4.589
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.14)
Return On Assets
(0.06)
Return On Equity
(153.11)
The market value of Porch Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Porch that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Porch's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Porch's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Porch's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Porch's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Porch's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Porch is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Porch's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.