Polestar Automotive Holding Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.14
| PSNYW Stock | USD 0.15 0.01 7.14% |
Polestar |
Polestar Automotive Target Price Odds to finish below 0.14
The tendency of Polestar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.14 or more in 90 days |
| 0.15 | 90 days | 0.14 | about 6.98 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Polestar Automotive to drop to $ 0.14 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.98 (This Polestar Automotive Holding probability density function shows the probability of Polestar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Polestar Automotive price to stay between $ 0.14 and its current price of $0.15 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.48 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Polestar Automotive Holding has a beta of -5.61 indicating as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Polestar Automotive Holding are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Polestar Automotive is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover Polestar Automotive Holding has an alpha of 1.6434, implying that it can generate a 1.64 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Polestar Automotive Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Polestar Automotive
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Polestar Automotive. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Polestar Automotive's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Polestar Automotive Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Polestar Automotive is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Polestar Automotive's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Polestar Automotive Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Polestar Automotive within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.64 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -5.61 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Polestar Automotive Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Polestar Automotive for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Polestar Automotive can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Polestar Automotive is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Polestar Automotive has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Polestar Automotive appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Polestar Automotive has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Polestar Automotive Holding has accumulated 3.58 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.23, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Polestar Automotive has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about Polestar Automotive's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 2.38 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.19 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 119.44 M. | |
| Polestar Automotive Holding has accumulated about 465.75 M in cash with (1.86 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.06, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Polestar Automotive has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
Polestar Automotive Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Polestar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Polestar Automotive's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Polestar Automotive's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 768.9 M |
Polestar Automotive Technical Analysis
Polestar Automotive's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Polestar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Polestar Automotive Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Polestar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Polestar Automotive Predictive Forecast Models
Polestar Automotive's time-series forecasting models is one of many Polestar Automotive's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Polestar Automotive's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Polestar Automotive
Checking the ongoing alerts about Polestar Automotive for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Polestar Automotive help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Polestar Automotive is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Polestar Automotive has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Polestar Automotive appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Polestar Automotive has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Polestar Automotive Holding has accumulated 3.58 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.23, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Polestar Automotive has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about Polestar Automotive's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 2.38 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.19 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 119.44 M. | |
| Polestar Automotive Holding has accumulated about 465.75 M in cash with (1.86 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.06, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Polestar Automotive has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
Additional Tools for Polestar Stock Analysis
When running Polestar Automotive's price analysis, check to measure Polestar Automotive's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Polestar Automotive is operating at the current time. Most of Polestar Automotive's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Polestar Automotive's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Polestar Automotive's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Polestar Automotive to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.