Premier Technology (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9.58

PT Stock  THB 9.70  0.05  0.51%   
Premier Technology's future price is the expected price of Premier Technology instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Premier Technology Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Premier Technology Backtesting, Premier Technology Valuation, Premier Technology Correlation, Premier Technology Hype Analysis, Premier Technology Volatility, Premier Technology History as well as Premier Technology Performance.
  
Please specify Premier Technology's target price for which you would like Premier Technology odds to be computed.

Premier Technology Target Price Odds to finish over 9.58

The tendency of Premier Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  9.58  in 90 days
 9.70 90 days 9.58 
about 40.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Premier Technology to stay above  9.58  in 90 days from now is about 40.78 (This Premier Technology Public probability density function shows the probability of Premier Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Premier Technology Public price to stay between  9.58  and its current price of 9.7 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon Premier Technology has a beta of 0.063 indicating as returns on the market go up, Premier Technology average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Premier Technology Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Premier Technology Public has an alpha of 0.1507, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Premier Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Premier Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Premier Technology Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.499.70979.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.316.13976.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.2010.21137.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.359.609.84
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Premier Technology. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Premier Technology's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Premier Technology's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Premier Technology Public.

Premier Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Premier Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Premier Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Premier Technology Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Premier Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
1.20
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Premier Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Premier Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Premier Technology Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Premier Technology is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Premier Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Premier Technology Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Premier Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Premier Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Premier Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding283.9 M

Premier Technology Technical Analysis

Premier Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Premier Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Premier Technology Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Premier Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Premier Technology Predictive Forecast Models

Premier Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Premier Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Premier Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Premier Technology Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Premier Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Premier Technology Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Premier Technology is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Premier Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Premier Stock

Premier Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether Premier Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Premier with respect to the benefits of owning Premier Technology security.