Pintec Technology Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.96
| PT Stock | USD 0.96 0.04 4.00% |
Pintec |
Pintec Technology Target Price Odds to finish below 0.96
The tendency of Pintec Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 0.96 | 90 days | 0.96 | about 25.55 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pintec Technology to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 25.55 (This Pintec Technology Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Pintec Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Pintec Technology has a beta of 0.0935 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pintec Technology average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pintec Technology Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pintec Technology Holdings has an alpha of 0.0265, implying that it can generate a 0.0265 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Pintec Technology Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pintec Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pintec Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pintec Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Pintec Technology Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pintec Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pintec Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pintec Technology Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pintec Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Pintec Technology Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pintec Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pintec Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pintec Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pintec Technology has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Pintec Technology has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Pintec Technology has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 52.72 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (81.25 M) with gross profit of 11.88 M. | |
| Pintec Technology has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Pintec Technology GAAP EPS of -RMB 0.02 |
Pintec Technology Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pintec Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pintec Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pintec Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 40.5 M |
Pintec Technology Technical Analysis
Pintec Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pintec Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pintec Technology Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pintec Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pintec Technology Predictive Forecast Models
Pintec Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pintec Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pintec Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pintec Technology
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pintec Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pintec Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pintec Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pintec Technology has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Pintec Technology has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Pintec Technology has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 52.72 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (81.25 M) with gross profit of 11.88 M. | |
| Pintec Technology has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Pintec Technology GAAP EPS of -RMB 0.02 |
Additional Tools for Pintec Stock Analysis
When running Pintec Technology's price analysis, check to measure Pintec Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pintec Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Pintec Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pintec Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pintec Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pintec Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.