Astra International Tbk Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 7.94
| PTAIY Stock | USD 6.07 0.40 6.18% |
Astra |
Astra International Target Price Odds to finish over 7.94
The tendency of Astra Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 7.94 or more in 90 days |
| 6.07 | 90 days | 7.94 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Astra International to move over $ 7.94 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Astra International Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Astra Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Astra International Tbk price to stay between its current price of $ 6.07 and $ 7.94 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Astra International Tbk has a beta of -0.56 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Astra International are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Astra International Tbk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Astra International Tbk has an alpha of 0.0209, implying that it can generate a 0.0209 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Astra International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Astra International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Astra International Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Astra International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Astra International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Astra International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Astra International Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Astra International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Astra International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Astra International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Astra International Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Astra International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Astra International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Astra Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Astra International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Astra International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 40.5 B |
Astra International Technical Analysis
Astra International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Astra Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Astra International Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Astra Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Astra International Predictive Forecast Models
Astra International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Astra International's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Astra International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Astra International Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Astra International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Astra International Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Astra International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for Astra Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Astra International's price analysis, check to measure Astra International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Astra International is operating at the current time. Most of Astra International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Astra International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Astra International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Astra International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.