POST TELECOMMU (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31500.0
| PTI Stock | 31,000 0.00 0.00% |
POST |
POST TELECOMMU Target Price Odds to finish below 31500.0
The tendency of POST Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 31,500 after 90 days |
| 31,000 | 90 days | 31,500 | about 73.5 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of POST TELECOMMU to stay under 31,500 after 90 days from now is about 73.5 (This POST TELECOMMU probability density function shows the probability of POST Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of POST TELECOMMU price to stay between its current price of 31,000 and 31,500 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.85 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon POST TELECOMMU has a beta of -0.15 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding POST TELECOMMU are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, POST TELECOMMU is likely to outperform the market. Additionally POST TELECOMMU has an alpha of 0.071, implying that it can generate a 0.071 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). POST TELECOMMU Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for POST TELECOMMU
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as POST TELECOMMU. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.POST TELECOMMU Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. POST TELECOMMU is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the POST TELECOMMU's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold POST TELECOMMU, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of POST TELECOMMU within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 975.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
POST TELECOMMU Technical Analysis
POST TELECOMMU's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. POST Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of POST TELECOMMU. In general, you should focus on analyzing POST Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
POST TELECOMMU Predictive Forecast Models
POST TELECOMMU's time-series forecasting models is one of many POST TELECOMMU's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary POST TELECOMMU's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards POST TELECOMMU in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, POST TELECOMMU's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from POST TELECOMMU options trading.
Other Information on Investing in POST Stock
POST TELECOMMU financial ratios help investors to determine whether POST Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in POST with respect to the benefits of owning POST TELECOMMU security.