Pettenati (Brazil) Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 6.55

PTNT4 Preferred Stock  BRL 6.49  0.11  1.67%   
Pettenati's future price is the expected price of Pettenati instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pettenati SA Industria performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pettenati Backtesting, Pettenati Valuation, Pettenati Correlation, Pettenati Hype Analysis, Pettenati Volatility, Pettenati History as well as Pettenati Performance.
  
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Pettenati Target Price Odds to finish over 6.55

The tendency of Pettenati Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over R$ 6.55  or more in 90 days
 6.49 90 days 6.55 
about 43.56
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pettenati to move over R$ 6.55  or more in 90 days from now is about 43.56 (This Pettenati SA Industria probability density function shows the probability of Pettenati Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pettenati SA Industria price to stay between its current price of R$ 6.49  and R$ 6.55  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pettenati SA Industria has a beta of -0.64 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Pettenati are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Pettenati SA Industria is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Pettenati SA Industria has an alpha of 0.2193, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Pettenati Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pettenati

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pettenati SA Industria. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.226.498.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.215.487.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.256.528.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.426.536.63
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pettenati. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pettenati's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pettenati's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pettenati SA Industria.

Pettenati Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pettenati is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pettenati's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pettenati SA Industria, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pettenati within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.64
σ
Overall volatility
0.37
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Pettenati Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pettenati for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pettenati SA Industria can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Pettenati Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pettenati Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pettenati's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pettenati's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding48 M
Cash And Short Term Investments61.5 M

Pettenati Technical Analysis

Pettenati's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pettenati Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pettenati SA Industria. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pettenati Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pettenati Predictive Forecast Models

Pettenati's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pettenati's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pettenati's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pettenati SA Industria

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pettenati for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pettenati SA Industria help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Pettenati Preferred Stock Analysis

When running Pettenati's price analysis, check to measure Pettenati's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pettenati is operating at the current time. Most of Pettenati's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pettenati's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pettenati's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pettenati to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.