Brinks (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 87.50

PTY Stock  EUR 87.50  1.50  1.74%   
Brinks' future price is the expected price of Brinks instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of The Brinks performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Brinks Backtesting, Brinks Valuation, Brinks Correlation, Brinks Hype Analysis, Brinks Volatility, Brinks History as well as Brinks Performance.
  
Please specify Brinks' target price for which you would like Brinks odds to be computed.

Brinks Target Price Odds to finish over 87.50

The tendency of Brinks Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 87.50 90 days 87.50 
about 88.39
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Brinks to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.39 (This The Brinks probability density function shows the probability of Brinks Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon The Brinks has a beta of -0.24 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Brinks are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, The Brinks is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The Brinks has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Brinks Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Brinks

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brinks. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
85.5087.5089.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
74.1776.1796.25
Details

Brinks Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Brinks is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Brinks' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Brinks, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Brinks within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.24
σ
Overall volatility
5.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Brinks Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Brinks for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Brinks can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Brinks generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Brinks Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Brinks Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Brinks' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brinks' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding46.4 M

Brinks Technical Analysis

Brinks' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Brinks Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Brinks. In general, you should focus on analyzing Brinks Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Brinks Predictive Forecast Models

Brinks' time-series forecasting models is one of many Brinks' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Brinks' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Brinks

Checking the ongoing alerts about Brinks for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Brinks help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Brinks generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Brinks Stock

Brinks financial ratios help investors to determine whether Brinks Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Brinks with respect to the benefits of owning Brinks security.