Papa Johns International Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 54.42
| PZZA Stock | USD 49.83 0.07 0.14% |
Papa |
Papa Johns Target Price Odds to finish over 54.42
The tendency of Papa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 54.42 or more in 90 days |
| 49.83 | 90 days | 54.42 | about 6.66 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Papa Johns to move over $ 54.42 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.66 (This Papa Johns International probability density function shows the probability of Papa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Papa Johns International price to stay between its current price of $ 49.83 and $ 54.42 at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.95 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Papa Johns has a beta of 0.94 indicating Papa Johns International market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Papa Johns is expected to follow. Additionally Papa Johns International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Papa Johns Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Papa Johns
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Papa Johns International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Papa Johns Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Papa Johns is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Papa Johns' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Papa Johns International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Papa Johns within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.94 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Papa Johns Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Papa Johns for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Papa Johns International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Papa Johns International currently holds 965.72 M in liabilities. Papa Johns International has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Papa Johns' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Papa Johns International Inc Shares Down 3.51 percent on Nov 26 |
Papa Johns Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Papa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Papa Johns' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Papa Johns' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 40.6 M |
Papa Johns Technical Analysis
Papa Johns' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Papa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Papa Johns International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Papa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Papa Johns Predictive Forecast Models
Papa Johns' time-series forecasting models is one of many Papa Johns' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Papa Johns' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Papa Johns International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Papa Johns for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Papa Johns International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Papa Johns International currently holds 965.72 M in liabilities. Papa Johns International has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Papa Johns' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Papa Johns International Inc Shares Down 3.51 percent on Nov 26 |
Check out Papa Johns Backtesting, Papa Johns Valuation, Papa Johns Correlation, Papa Johns Hype Analysis, Papa Johns Volatility, Papa Johns History as well as Papa Johns Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Papa Johns. If investors know Papa will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Papa Johns listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.646 | Dividend Share 1.84 | Earnings Share 2.89 | Revenue Per Share 64.283 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
The market value of Papa Johns International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Papa that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Papa Johns' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Papa Johns' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Papa Johns' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Papa Johns' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Papa Johns' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Papa Johns is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Papa Johns' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.