Pan Pacific (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 22.18

QJE Stock  EUR 23.40  0.40  1.74%   
Pan Pacific's future price is the expected price of Pan Pacific instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pan Pacific International performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pan Pacific Backtesting, Pan Pacific Valuation, Pan Pacific Correlation, Pan Pacific Hype Analysis, Pan Pacific Volatility, Pan Pacific History as well as Pan Pacific Performance.
  
Please specify Pan Pacific's target price for which you would like Pan Pacific odds to be computed.

Pan Pacific Target Price Odds to finish below 22.18

The tendency of Pan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 22.18  or more in 90 days
 23.40 90 days 22.18 
about 20.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pan Pacific to drop to € 22.18  or more in 90 days from now is about 20.5 (This Pan Pacific International probability density function shows the probability of Pan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pan Pacific International price to stay between € 22.18  and its current price of €23.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.71 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Pan Pacific has a beta of 0.26 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pan Pacific average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pan Pacific International will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pan Pacific International has an alpha of 0.0266, implying that it can generate a 0.0266 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Pan Pacific Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pan Pacific

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pan Pacific International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.5323.4025.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.3122.1824.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.2524.1125.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.5522.6223.69
Details

Pan Pacific Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pan Pacific is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pan Pacific's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pan Pacific International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pan Pacific within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.26
σ
Overall volatility
0.59
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Pan Pacific Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pan Pacific for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pan Pacific International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pan Pacific has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Pan Pacific Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pan Pacific's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pan Pacific's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding634.3 M

Pan Pacific Technical Analysis

Pan Pacific's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pan Pacific International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pan Pacific Predictive Forecast Models

Pan Pacific's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pan Pacific's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pan Pacific's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pan Pacific International

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pan Pacific for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pan Pacific International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pan Pacific has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Pan Stock

Pan Pacific financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pan with respect to the benefits of owning Pan Pacific security.