Quaint Oak Bancorp Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 15.56
| QNTO Stock | USD 11.04 0.01 0.09% |
Quaint |
Quaint Oak Target Price Odds to finish over 15.56
The tendency of Quaint OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 15.56 or more in 90 days |
| 11.04 | 90 days | 15.56 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Quaint Oak to move over $ 15.56 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Quaint Oak Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Quaint OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Quaint Oak Bancorp price to stay between its current price of $ 11.04 and $ 15.56 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.85 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Quaint Oak has a beta of 0.0998 indicating as returns on the market go up, Quaint Oak average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Quaint Oak Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Quaint Oak Bancorp has an alpha of 0.151, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Quaint Oak Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Quaint Oak
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Quaint Oak Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Quaint Oak's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Quaint Oak Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Quaint Oak is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Quaint Oak's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Quaint Oak Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Quaint Oak within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Quaint Oak Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Quaint Oak for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Quaint Oak Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Quaint Oak Bancorp currently holds about 13.91 M in cash with (37.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.98. | |
| Roughly 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Quaint Oak Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Quaint OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Quaint Oak's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Quaint Oak's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.1 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 97.7 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.52 | |
| Shares Float | 1.3 M |
Quaint Oak Technical Analysis
Quaint Oak's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Quaint OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Quaint Oak Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Quaint OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Quaint Oak Predictive Forecast Models
Quaint Oak's time-series forecasting models is one of many Quaint Oak's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Quaint Oak's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Quaint Oak Bancorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Quaint Oak for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Quaint Oak Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Quaint Oak Bancorp currently holds about 13.91 M in cash with (37.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.98. | |
| Roughly 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Quaint OTC Stock
Quaint Oak financial ratios help investors to determine whether Quaint OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Quaint with respect to the benefits of owning Quaint Oak security.