Qurate Retail Series Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.36
| QRTEA Stock | USD 0.37 0.01 2.78% |
Qurate |
Qurate Retail Target Price Odds to finish below 0.36
The tendency of Qurate Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.36 or more in 90 days |
| 0.37 | 90 days | 0.36 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Qurate Retail to drop to $ 0.36 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Qurate Retail Series probability density function shows the probability of Qurate Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Qurate Retail Series price to stay between $ 0.36 and its current price of $0.37 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.2 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Qurate Retail will likely underperform. Additionally Qurate Retail Series has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Qurate Retail Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Qurate Retail
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Qurate Retail Series. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Qurate Retail's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Qurate Retail Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Qurate Retail is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Qurate Retail's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Qurate Retail Series, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Qurate Retail within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.88 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Qurate Retail Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Qurate Retail for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Qurate Retail Series can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Qurate Retail Series generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Qurate Retail Series has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Qurate Retail Series has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 10.91 B. Net Loss for the year was (145 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.69 B. | |
| About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Heres Silver Ring Value Partners Thesis for Qurate Retail |
Qurate Retail Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Qurate Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Qurate Retail's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Qurate Retail's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 387 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Qurate Retail Technical Analysis
Qurate Retail's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Qurate Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Qurate Retail Series. In general, you should focus on analyzing Qurate Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Qurate Retail Predictive Forecast Models
Qurate Retail's time-series forecasting models is one of many Qurate Retail's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Qurate Retail's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Qurate Retail Series
Checking the ongoing alerts about Qurate Retail for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Qurate Retail Series help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Qurate Retail Series generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Qurate Retail Series has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Qurate Retail Series has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 10.91 B. Net Loss for the year was (145 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.69 B. | |
| About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Heres Silver Ring Value Partners Thesis for Qurate Retail |
Check out Qurate Retail Backtesting, Qurate Retail Valuation, Qurate Retail Correlation, Qurate Retail Hype Analysis, Qurate Retail Volatility, Qurate Retail History as well as Qurate Retail Performance. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Is Broadline Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Qurate Retail. If investors know Qurate will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Qurate Retail listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.82) | Earnings Share (0.71) | Revenue Per Share 25.8 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) | Return On Assets 0.0348 |
The market value of Qurate Retail Series is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Qurate that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Qurate Retail's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Qurate Retail's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Qurate Retail's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Qurate Retail's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Qurate Retail's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Qurate Retail is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Qurate Retail's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.