Uniqure Nv Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.87
| QURE Stock | USD 6.05 0.06 1.00% |
Uniqure |
Uniqure NV Target Price Odds to finish below 4.87
The tendency of Uniqure Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 4.87 or more in 90 days |
| 6.05 | 90 days | 4.87 | about 6.93 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Uniqure NV to drop to $ 4.87 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.93 (This Uniqure NV probability density function shows the probability of Uniqure Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Uniqure NV price to stay between $ 4.87 and its current price of $6.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.19 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 4.29 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Uniqure NV will likely underperform. Additionally Uniqure NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Uniqure NV Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Uniqure NV
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Uniqure NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Uniqure NV Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Uniqure NV is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Uniqure NV's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Uniqure NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Uniqure NV within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.41 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 4.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0033 |
Uniqure NV Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Uniqure NV for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Uniqure NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Uniqure NV had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Uniqure NV has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 15.84 M. Net Loss for the year was (308.48 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (87.37 M). | |
| Uniqure NV currently holds about 500.52 M in cash with (145.93 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.71, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Uniqure NV has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: uniQure Announces Dosing of First Patient in GenTLE Phase IIIa Clinical Trial of AMT-260 for the Treatment of Refractory Mesial Temporal Lobe Epilepsy |
Uniqure NV Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Uniqure Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Uniqure NV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Uniqure NV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 47.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 617.9 M |
Uniqure NV Technical Analysis
Uniqure NV's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Uniqure Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Uniqure NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Uniqure Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Uniqure NV Predictive Forecast Models
Uniqure NV's time-series forecasting models is one of many Uniqure NV's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Uniqure NV's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Uniqure NV
Checking the ongoing alerts about Uniqure NV for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Uniqure NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Uniqure NV had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Uniqure NV has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 15.84 M. Net Loss for the year was (308.48 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (87.37 M). | |
| Uniqure NV currently holds about 500.52 M in cash with (145.93 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.71, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Uniqure NV has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: uniQure Announces Dosing of First Patient in GenTLE Phase IIIa Clinical Trial of AMT-260 for the Treatment of Refractory Mesial Temporal Lobe Epilepsy |
Check out Uniqure NV Backtesting, Uniqure NV Valuation, Uniqure NV Correlation, Uniqure NV Hype Analysis, Uniqure NV Volatility, Uniqure NV History as well as Uniqure NV Performance. For information on how to trade Uniqure Stock refer to our How to Trade Uniqure Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Uniqure NV. If investors know Uniqure will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Uniqure NV listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.18) | Earnings Share (4.95) | Revenue Per Share 0.591 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.625 | Return On Assets (0.17) |
The market value of Uniqure NV is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Uniqure that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Uniqure NV's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Uniqure NV's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Uniqure NV's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Uniqure NV's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Uniqure NV's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Uniqure NV is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Uniqure NV's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.